Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 17
Goals
Game Review
In a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, Bayer 04 Leverkusen edged out Hamburger SV with a narrow 1-0 victory, thanks to a decisive goal from Christian Kofane (GAP +2.5%) in the 73rd minute. The match, held on Wednesday, 4 March 2026, saw both teams battling for supremacy, but it was Leverkusen who managed to capitalize on their opportunities. The game was largely balanced, with Hamburger SV showing resilience and determination. However, it was Bayer Leverkusen's tactical discipline and individual brilliance that ultimately made the difference. Alex Grimaldo (GAP +5.1%) and Exequiel Palacios (GAP +4.3%) were instrumental in maintaining control in the midfield, providing the necessary support for their team to secure the win. Hamburger SV's lineup featured no changes from their previous match, indicating a level of consistency in their approach. Despite this, they struggled to break down Leverkusen's defense, which was marshaled effectively by Edmond Tapsoba (GAP +4.0%). The home side introduced several substitutes, including William Mikelbrencis and Albert Sambi Lokonga, in an attempt to inject fresh energy into their attack, but these changes did not yield the desired result. Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, made strategic substitutions, bringing in Malik Tillman and Ezequiel Fernández to bolster their midfield and maintain their slender lead. The away team's ability to adapt and manage the game effectively was a testament to their tactical acumen. This victory propels Bayer Leverkusen further up the Bundesliga table, enhancing their momentum as they continue to challenge for a top spot. For Hamburger SV, the defeat serves as a reminder of the competitive nature of the league and the need to capitalize on home advantage. As the season progresses, both teams will be keen to refine their strategies and improve their standings in the league.
Lineups
Hamburger SV
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| UNK |
Substitutes
| 29' | William Mikelbrencisfor Bakery Jatta |
| 65' | Otto Emerson Stangefor Rayan Philippe |
| 65' | Jordan Torunarighafor Warmed Omari |
| 65' | Jean-Luc Dompefor Damion Downs |
| 81' | Albert Sambi Lokongafor Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 71' | Malik Tillmanfor Martin Terrier |
| 90' | Ezequiel Fernándezfor Ibrahim Maza |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | +16 | 43 | D W L D W |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 26 | W W D L L |
Last Games
Bundesliga
Gameweek 17
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.